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Today's severe storm threat...

Jason Samenow @ 11:19 PM

There is a good chance of thunderstorms this afternoon as a cold front moves through the area, and the storms that come through may be strong or severe. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center puts our area under a slight risk of severe storms. The National Weather Service (Sterling Office) wrote the following in yesterday's forecast discussion:

EXPECT THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER FROM BALTIMORE...WESTERN DC SUBURBS...TO CHARLOTTESVILLE AND SOUTHEAST DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS WHICH CONTAIN MASSIVE CORES ALOFT.

It also issued this Hazardous Weather Outlook, indicating "an organized severe weather episode may occur."

I concur with this assessment and believe a squall line will move through sometime in the afternoon. The strongest storms may be on the southern end of the line in south central and southeast VA, but I would not be surprised if severe reports occur throughout the MidAtlantic. Yesterday, severe weather was widespread in the Tennessee Valley.

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