Thursday, April 27, 2006
10-Day Outlook: Flashback to the 60s!
Josh Larson @ 1:00 AM
Today's Weather
Today's forecast calls for mostly sunny skies with very pleasant afternoon highs in the upper 60s. Partly cloudy tonight, with lows ranging from the upper 40s downtown to the lower 40s across the cooler 'burbs.
Pattern Overview
Yesterday's much cooler weather marked the beginning of a shift towards prolonged pleasant spring conditions featuring somewhat cooler than normal temperatures; this delightful weather is likely to continue (with a few exceptions) for at least the next week. In fact, overall, for the next 10 days, I expect temperatures to average some 3-5 degrees below normal.
Through Tuesday (before the cold front came through), high temperatures over the previous week averaged close to 74 degrees. For the next five days, however, we can expect fantastic spring highs mostly averging in the mid 60s. A trough situated to our north will allow cool, Canadian air to filter down into the Mid-Atlantic. As for precipitation, the past week's 1-3" of rainfall has considerably subdued the developing drought conditions that had been in place since late February. In fact, the short-term drought guidance (at right), courtesy CPC, suggests that conditions, have improved considerably compared to a month ago. Indeed, our rainfall over the past 30 days is now about a half-inch above normal.
The next 5 days (Apr 27 - Mar 1)
Forecast highs/lows: 66/47 (normal = 70/50)
Forecast precip: Near normal
After today's abundant sunshine and highs in the upper 60s, Friday will feature more in the way of cloudiness -- though it will still be at least partly sunny most of the day -- with slightly cooler highs in the mid 60s and overnight lows in the low to mid 40s. Saturday looks to be an absolutely superb weather day, with abundant sunshine and crisp highs in the low to mid 60s, with overnight lows from 40-45. Sunday looks nice, too, but with more in the way of cloud cover, and clouds increasing during the day; don't despair, however, as most of the day should feature at least some sunshine. Expect highs again in the mid 60s, with lows in the 40s. Monday looks like the first unpleasant day I can "find," with overcast skies, cool temperatures in the low 60s, and a 50/50 chance of periods of rain.
The following 5 days (May 2-6)
Forecast highs/lows: 68/49 (normal = 72/42)
Forecast precip: Below normal
From this (admittedly far) vantage point, it looks like next week should shape up to be a beautiful one weather-wise, with high pressure firmly in control and temperatures continuing to average several degrees below normal. Weather, too, should be quite "stable": the period Tuesday through Saturday should predominately feature partly to mostly sunny skies with highs from 65-70 and overnight lows from 45-50. The one exception may be late Thursday into Friday, when clouds and a few showers may pay a visit to the region courtesy an approaching cold front.
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