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Active Weather Pattern Shaping Up

Josh Larson @ 12:00 AM

After several days of mild weather (near 70 for highs) today through Saturday, a cold front will push through late Saturday and drop temperatures some 10-15 degrees for Sunday through the upcoming week; to boot, the middle of next week looks potentially quite overcast and rainy.

Today


Forecast Confidence: HighRapidly improving. Expect mostly cloudy skies to start the day, with a few pockets of lingering drizzle not out of the question. By mid morning, however, winds out of the west will allow for rapid clearing. Look for mostly sunny skies by early afternoon. Milder, too, with highs topping out near 70. Clear and comfortable overnight with lows from the upper 40s to low 50s.

Friday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighGlorious. We'll see abundant sunshine -- hardly a cloud in the sky -- with mild temperatures in the low 70s; if you have the day off, get out and enjoy it! Mostly clear Friday night with lows near 50.

The Weekend


Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighSalvageable. We'll start off the day Saturday with a bit of sunshine, but clouds will rapidly increase throughout the day as a cold front presses in on the area. Afternoon highs should make it into the upper 60s. Scattered showers are possible from late afternoon through the evening hours, then drying out with cooler overnight lows near 40.

Sunday will feature abundant sunshine and much cooler temperatures with a blustery NW wind at times, in the wake of the cold front. Expect afternoon highs only in the low to mid 50s with overnight lows from the upper 20s to mid 30s.

LARSON'S LONG-RANGE


Pattern Overview
Looks like the next few days of warm temperatures will be fleeting -- perhaps even taunting. A rather strong cold front will push through the area late Saturday, allowing for temperatures to fall back slightly below-normal levels once again. In addition, courtesy a rather active jet stream, it looks like we will have another week of above-normal precipitation, with a wet mid-week period.

Above: the GFS' representation of much cooler air filtering back into the area by late Saturday.

Next week's forecast
Forecast highs/lows: 55/40 (normal = 58/40)
Forecast precip: Above normal

Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighExpect a blend of clouds and sun on Monday with high temperatures in the low to mid 50s and overnight lows in the mid 30s to low 40s. Tuesday will likely feature mostly cloudy skies ahead of an approaching area of low pressure; rain is possible by the evening hours. Expect highs near 55 and lows in the low 40s. Wednesday and Thursday look to feature overcast skies and a high probability of at least scattered showers if not a soaking rain as cold front and several associated waves of low pressure travel through the area. Expect highs in the mid 50s and lows from the 40-45 both days. Clearing and turning colder on Friday, with highs in the low 50s and lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

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