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The week ahead: Episodic cold but low risk of big storms

Jason Samenow @ 12:30 AM

In the wake of yesterday's first snow and as a chilly pattern begins asserting itself, we look for signs of the next snow event. Regrettably for snow lovers, snow prospects look grim in the week ahead despite the cold. Details follow the recap of yesterday's storm.

Yesterday's Storm Recap


Today


Forecast Confidence: HighMostly cloudy, a bit raw. Expect a chilly, dreary kind of day as weak flow will make it tough to erode or push off the low cloud cover. The clouds will prevent rapid melting of the ice and snow and may help keep temperatures below freezing until the late morning. High temperatures should range from 34-38. A weak cold front will move through the area in the evening which should allow clouds to gradually decrease overnight, with lows 25-30

The Upcoming Week at a Glance

Coldest Day: Friday, High 28.
Warmest Day: Wednesday and Saturday, High 43.
Dry Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday and Saturday.
Precipitation Chances: Wednesday night, Thursday and Sunday (slight chance of flurries or snow showers).
The Week's Wild Cards: How cold will it be Thursday and Friday? Will there be any snow showers or flurries Wednesday night into Thursday or on Sunday as cold fronts pass through? When will the cold front pass on Sunday?
Climatological Average High/Low: 42-43/27

Pictured: Sledding in Oakton late yesterday afternoon. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Kevin Ambrose

Tuesday


Forecast Confidence: HighPartly sunny, seasonably cold. Behind the front from the night before, it should be breezy and cool but the sun will emerge with highs near 40. Overnight, expect partly cloudy skies, with lows 24-29 (suburbs-city).

Wednesday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighPartly cloudy with normal temps. Temperatures will be close to average, with highs in the low 40s. Overnight, a strong cold front will pass through the area late with a 25% chance of snow showers or flurries. Lows should be 25-30.



Pictured: Moderate snow in NW DC yesterday evening. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Ian Livingston.

Thursday


Forecast Confidence:Low-mediumWindy and very cold. Snow flurries? Cold air will stream in behind the strong cold front, with steady or falling temperatures during the day. Highs will likely max out in the mid 30s prior to noon -- with temperatures in the 20s by dark. Scattered snow flurries are possible under variably cloudy skies and amidst gusty winds. Overnight, it will be breezy and frigid -- with lows in the teens (wind chills in the single digits).

Friday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighPartly sunny and very cold. The core of the coldest air of the season will probably be over the area. Expect partly sunny skies with highs only 25-30. Overnight, it should be clear and cold, with lows 14-20 (suburbs-city).

The weekend


Forecast Confidence: MediumA bit milder Saturday, turning colder again Sunday. As high pressure builds in from the southwest Saturday, the cold air will lose some of its bite. Expect mostly sunny skies with highs in the low 40s. Clouds may increase late Saturday night, with lows 30-35. On Sunday, a cold front is likely to move through the area at some point but the timing is uncertain as is the prospect of any accompanying precipitation. High temperatures may reach 40 or so before temperatures take another tailspin for the start of next week.

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