An unsettled weather pattern this week will give us a fighting chance at some rain each day. However, the hit-or-miss nature of the showers and storms will frustrate gardeners (not to mention forecasters). Cooler than average temperatures to begin the week will warm to near seasonal norms and the humidity will gradually increase.
Today
Partly sunny -- slight chance of showers. An area of low pressure offshore will steer cool northeast winds over the area. Despite considerable cloudiness, there will be enough sunshine to boost temperatures to around 80 degrees with a slight chance of showers in the afternoon (30%). Overnight, skies should remain mostly cloudy with a shower or two possible (but not probable). Lows should range from 60-65.
The Upcoming Week at a GlanceWarmest Days: Friday, 90.
Coolest Day: Today, 76.
Rain Chances: 20%: Tuesday, Wednesday and Sunday. 30%: Today and Thursday. 40%: Friday and Saturday.
Dry Days: Best chance Tuesday, Wednesday and Sunday.
The Week's Wild Cards: Will scattered afternoon/evening storms put a dent in the drought? How long will it take the late week frontal boundary to clear the area?
Climatological Average High/Low: 89-88/71
Pictured: The Capitol stands proud in the evening light Saturday. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Ian Livingston. Click to enlarge. Tuesday
Warmer and sunnier than Monday. As the coastal low moves to our north, westerly winds will blow in warmer temperatures. High temperatures should reach the low to mid 80s under partly sunny skies. Still some remnant cold air aloft may be enough to trigger a shower or storm, particularly north and west of the area (20% chance in the metro area). Overnight, it should be partly cloudy, with lows 63-68.
Pictured: The mall at sunset on Saturday. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Ian Livingston.Wednesday
Warm and humid, isolated late day storms. Humidity will build and it will be seasonably warm as winds become southerly. High temperatures will likely reach the mid to upper 80s under partly sunny skies. There's a 20% chance of an isolated late day storm in the increasingly muggy air. Overnight, it will be partly cloudy and warm, with lows 65-70 (suburbs-city).
Thursday
Sticky with isolated late day storms possible. Thursday should be a lot like Wednesday although it will be a bit warmer and more humid. High temperatures are likely to be in the upper 80s and a few thunderstorms could develop in the late afternoon and evening (30% chance). Overnight, it will be partly cloudy, with lows 66-71 (suburbs-city)
Pictured: The moon photographed by a digital camera through a telescope Saturday night. By CapitalWeather.com visitor David Abbou.Friday
Humid, storm chances increase? The airmass will remain sticky, with partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 80s to near 90. A cold front will slowly approach from the northwest, increasing the shower and storm threat to 40%. Overnight, it will should remain partly cloudy with a 30% chance of storms. Lows should be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
The Weekend
Unsettled Saturday. Slow clearing on Sunday? Friday's cold front may stall over the area for at least the first half of the weekend, locking in the clouds and keeping the threat of showers and storms in the picture. Right now, Saturday looks to be mostly cloudy and humid with a 40% chance of showers and storms. High temperatures should be in the mid 80s. On Sunday, there's some chance the front could clear the region, allowing it to slowly dry out. Or, it could be similar to Saturday. Right now, I'll call for a chance of morning showers before the sunshine gradually emerges late in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s.