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Seeking an Ice Day

Steve Scolnik @ 4:55 PM

Lake effect snow showers, aided by a very weak low pressure trough, made it across much of Pennsylvania to the Jersey shore around noon today, but the activity was all above the Mason-Dixon line and in the mountains of West Virginia. Lakehurst Naval Air Station was reporting snow at 1pm. Meanwhile, a weak low moving eastward from the lower Ohio Valley will bring a very slight chance of a few scattered snow showers to the mid Atlantic region tonight.

After a morning low of 27, afternoon temperatures approaching 40 make it likely that today will be the first day this month, and the 3rd day since before Christmas, with below-average temperatures. With yesterday's +2° departure, the month is still 8.4° above climatological "normal".

Tonight and Tomorrow

Tonight's lows will be in the mid 20s under mostly cloudy skies and a less than 20% chance of snow flurries. Tomorrow will be partly cloudy with a high near 40.

Super(?) Models

At least one major model this morning makes a strong case for East Coast "bombogenesis" [Spell-check suggested "pompousness" here!] and associated snow this weekend. The early model run from this afternoon is significantly weaker and further south. While the accuracy of such predictions in the 72-96 hr time range is limited, the situation certainly bears close watching over the next couple of days. One thing is for sure: At least one of them will be wrong.

Kwitcher . . . Complainin'

There's been a lot of frustration among the True Fans of winter in DC this season, but think about the poor folks who live where ice is a virtual way of life. At least you know you're not going to be doing any serious ice fishing in the Washington area. Monday's WaPo highlighted some of the effects of this winter's weather in New England. The Great Rotary Fishing Derby? Seriously jeopardized. The Lake Champlain Ice Fishing Championship? Cancelled. The Latchkey Cup Stock Car Race on Ice? Postponed. So, remember, the grass may not be greener, but the ice could always be bluer.

Photo of Meredith Bay, NH from

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