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10-Day Outlook: Spring's Ups & Downs Continue

Josh Larson @ 11:00 PM

Today's Weather

Today's forecast calls for mostly sunny skies with very mild high temperatures near 80 in most spots. It will be mostly clear and mild overnight, with lows in the low to mid 50s.

Pattern Overview

As is fairly typical of this time of year, our atmospheric pattern at present, and over the next approximately five days, looks to be fairly progressive, with storm systems moving through at a pretty regular pace. In addition, we are also looking at a fairly amplified flow pattern, with the aforementioned weather-makers being relatively strong.

As a result, we'll see relatively changeable weather over the next five days -- both in respect to temperature as well as cloud/precipitation patterns -- with conditions appearing to settle down by next week. We can expect measurable rain, in the form of scattered showers and thunderstorms, this weekend, as a closed low pushes through from the Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic.

In its wake, however, we'll be left with ridging over our region which will allow for several days of above-normal temperatures (next Monday through Wednesday), before a relatively strong trough replaces that ridge and cooler than normal conditions return for the second half of next week. All in all, I expect temperatures some 5-7 degrees above average over the next five days, with temperatures close to normal for the following five days.

Pictured above: Dogwood and cherry blossoms still blooming; by photographer, Kevin Ambrose.

The next 5 days (Apr 20-24)

Forecast highs/lows: 74/53 (normal = 68/48)
Forecast precip: Near normal

After today's delightful weather, Friday's weather will go downhill rather quickly. Expect clouds to increase from the late morning on, with scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorm developing by the afternoon hours. Under mostly cloudy skies, highs will only be in the mid to upper 60s. Cloudy Friday night with scattered showers lingering, and lows in the low to mid 50s. Saturday will feature continued mostly cloudy skies with widely scattered (occasional) showers and thundershowers likely, with warmer highs near 70; it will not be a washout.

Expect morning clouds and a stray shower Sunday morning, but the vast majority of the day will be dry, with mostly sunny skies by afternoon. It will become warmer, too, with highs near 75 and overnight lows remaining in the mid 50s. Monday will be warmer, still, as the flow aloft turns more out of the southwest, with highs approaching 80 degrees under mostly sunny skies.

The following 5 days (Apr 25-29)

Forecast highs/lows: 70/47 (normal = 70/50)
Forecast precip: Near normal

Tuesday and Wednesday both look mostly sunny and quite mild; I expect that strong southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching area of low pressure and associated cold front will allow temperatures both days to climb into the upper 70s to near 80 with increasingly muggy conditions. It appears likely that a cold front will push through late Wednesday into early Thursday, with showers and thunderstorms possible during this period. Thursday through Saturday are likely to be noticeably cooler, with high temperatures dropping to the mid 60s, and overnight lows back into the 40s.

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