Monday, May 15, 2006
The week ahead: A setback in summer's approach
Jason Samenow @ 12:10 AM
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For those eagerly awaiting sunny 80 degree days, a little patience is in order. The upcoming week will bring multiple chances of rain and cooler than average temperatures (as Josh described Thursday). Temps may not climb above 75 this week. Your forecast details follow...
PM Shower/t'storms possible. Low pressure -- responsible for yesterday's rain -- will linger over the area, generating enough instability to trigger some afternoon/evening showers and t'storms. Any particular location in the metro region stands about a 50% chance of getting wet at some point. There will be periods of sunshine -- but generally more clouds than sun -- with highs 65-70. A few scattered showers are possible overnight, with lows near 50.
Pictured: Rain in Bethesday Thursday night. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Kevin Ambrose.
Slow improvement, not out of the woods. The pesky area of low pressure will slowly drift northward. However, enough instability will remain for a few showers or t'storms -- particularly in the late afternoon and evening. Rain probabilities drop to about 30% (from 50% today). Most of the day should be partly sunny, with highs 68-72.
An opportunity for a nice day. The persistent area of low pressure from days past should be far enough north, that our rain chances drop to 20% or less. Skies look to be partly cloudy, with highs 70-75. Overnight, expect fair skies, with lows in the low 50s.
The hasty return of unsettled weather? After a partly sunny morning, a cold front will likely approach from the west -- increasing chances for afternoon and evening showers and storms (40% probability). High temperatures should be in the low 70s. Overnight, showers and storms remain a possibility, with lows 54-58.
Rainy? Some of the current guidance suggests the cold front will stall over the area -- allowing waves of low pressure to move along it -- generating rain. But if the front stalls a bit further north or south, we may not be in the heart of the rain area. Regardless, temperatures should be cooler than average, with highs in the 60s (if it rains) or low 70s (if it's dry).
Potential to be nice. Based on most guidance, the front from Thursday or Friday should clear be Saturday morning, allowing weak high pressure to build in for the weekend. As of now, partly to mostly sunny skies seem like a decent bet Saturday and Sunday -- with highs near 70 Saturday, and 70-75 on Sunday. Overnight lows should be in the 50s.
The average high this week is in the mid to upper 70s with average lows in the mid to upper 50s.
For those eagerly awaiting sunny 80 degree days, a little patience is in order. The upcoming week will bring multiple chances of rain and cooler than average temperatures (as Josh described Thursday). Temps may not climb above 75 this week. Your forecast details follow...
Today
PM Shower/t'storms possible. Low pressure -- responsible for yesterday's rain -- will linger over the area, generating enough instability to trigger some afternoon/evening showers and t'storms. Any particular location in the metro region stands about a 50% chance of getting wet at some point. There will be periods of sunshine -- but generally more clouds than sun -- with highs 65-70. A few scattered showers are possible overnight, with lows near 50.Pictured: Rain in Bethesday Thursday night. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Kevin Ambrose.
Tomorrow
Slow improvement, not out of the woods. The pesky area of low pressure will slowly drift northward. However, enough instability will remain for a few showers or t'storms -- particularly in the late afternoon and evening. Rain probabilities drop to about 30% (from 50% today). Most of the day should be partly sunny, with highs 68-72.Wednesday
An opportunity for a nice day. The persistent area of low pressure from days past should be far enough north, that our rain chances drop to 20% or less. Skies look to be partly cloudy, with highs 70-75. Overnight, expect fair skies, with lows in the low 50s.The hasty return of unsettled weather? After a partly sunny morning, a cold front will likely approach from the west -- increasing chances for afternoon and evening showers and storms (40% probability). High temperatures should be in the low 70s. Overnight, showers and storms remain a possibility, with lows 54-58.Friday
Rainy? Some of the current guidance suggests the cold front will stall over the area -- allowing waves of low pressure to move along it -- generating rain. But if the front stalls a bit further north or south, we may not be in the heart of the rain area. Regardless, temperatures should be cooler than average, with highs in the 60s (if it rains) or low 70s (if it's dry).The weekend
Potential to be nice. Based on most guidance, the front from Thursday or Friday should clear be Saturday morning, allowing weak high pressure to build in for the weekend. As of now, partly to mostly sunny skies seem like a decent bet Saturday and Sunday -- with highs near 70 Saturday, and 70-75 on Sunday. Overnight lows should be in the 50s.Climatology
The average high this week is in the mid to upper 70s with average lows in the mid to upper 50s.
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