
Saturday, June 10, 2006
Benign in our backyard, trouble in the tropics
Jason Samenow @ 10:01 AM
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Tropical update: Threat for the Mid Atlantic???
Tropical Depression #1 formed early this morning over the Caribbean. It's currently poorly organized with maximum winds of 35mph. Current track guidance mostly takes it northeastward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico towards the big bend of Florida (below the panhandle) -- although there's some variability in possible outcomes. It is likely to intensify into Tropical Storm Alberto during its journey over the Gulf of Mexico. It could reach hurricane status but will have to overcome some shear. In the long range, it may get captured by an East Coast trough bringing it up the coast towards the Mid-Atlantic by mid week. So it's possible wind and rain from the storm could affect the DC area, but more likely the coastal areas. We'll keep you posted.