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Benign in our backyard, trouble in the tropics

Jason Samenow @ 10:01 AM

Cool, breezy but pleasant conditions greet us for the weekend, while the season's first tropical depression forms in the Caribbean.


Nice Day StampIn the wake of low pressure now spinning off the coast of Maine, high pressure will nose southeastward out of Canada bringing dry and cool conditions across the area today. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies, with highs only in the mid 70s -- with northwest winds 15-25mph. Overnight, it will be clear and cool, with lows in the mid 50s downtown to near 50 in the suburbs.


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighDespite a frontal boundary stalled out to the south which may produce a bit of cloudiness in the afternoon, it should be a pretty nice day north of central Virginia. Expect a mix of clouds and sun, with coolish highs once again in the mid 70s. Winds will be west northwest at 10-15mph.

Tropical update: Threat for the Mid Atlantic???

Tropical Depression #1 formed early this morning over the Caribbean. It's currently poorly organized with maximum winds of 35mph. Current track guidance mostly takes it northeastward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico towards the big bend of Florida (below the panhandle) -- although there's some variability in possible outcomes. It is likely to intensify into Tropical Storm Alberto during its journey over the Gulf of Mexico. It could reach hurricane status but will have to overcome some shear. In the long range, it may get captured by an East Coast trough bringing it up the coast towards the Mid-Atlantic by mid week. So it's possible wind and rain from the storm could affect the DC area, but more likely the coastal areas. We'll keep you posted.

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