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Typical summer weather sets in

Jason Samenow @ 11:41 PM

Summer "officially" begins this week (on June 21) and summer weather will be with us. We can expect somewhat warmer than average conditions and several chances for late afternoon t'storms. The week ahead outlook follows...

Today


Forecast Confidence: HighLate day/evening t'storms possible. A weak cold front will approach later today, bringing about a 1 in 3 chance of thunderstorms. Before that, it will be partly sunny, warm and humid, with highs near 90. Overnight, after any storms, it will be partly cloudy and warm, with lows near 70 downtown and in the mid 60s in the suburbs.

Tomorrow


Forecast Confidence: HighPartly sunny. Monday's front will slowly move towards the coast as weak high pressure builds in from the west. Along the bay and especially towards the Atlantic beaches, clouds and an isolated storm are possible. Elsewhere, expect partly cloudy skies and dry conditions, with highs in the mid 80s. Overnight, skies will be mostly clear with lows in the upper 60s downtown and low 60s in the suburbs.

Wednesday


Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighMostly sunny. High pressure will be in control for the summer solstice. With the sun as high as it gets, temperatures will reach the upper 80s, but humidity levels should be tolerable. Overnight, lows will drop to the upper 60s in town, and low to mid 60s in the suburbs.

Thursday


Forecast Confidence: HighVery warm and humid. High pressure will gradually move offshore, winds will become southerly and it will begin to feel hot. High temperatures should be 88-93 with sticky humidity levels. An isolated evening thunderstorm can't be ruled out (20% chance). Overnight, we'll have lows in the lower 70s downtown, and mid 60s in the suburbs.

Friday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighPM t'storms? A front may well move through the area, bringing a decent (40%) chance of showers and t'storms, especially in the afternoon. High temperatures should be in the mid to upper 80s. The overnight hours should bring partly cloudy skies, with lows near 70 (downtown) and in the 60s in the suburbs.

The Weekend


Forecast Confidence: MediumUnsettled and uncertain. Friday's front may well stall across the region or just to the south, allowing frontal waves to produce occasional bouts of showers and t'storms during the weekend. The most likely time for rain producing storms would be in the late afternoon and evening. So the majority of daylight hours may be dry. Still, the timing, coverage and likelihood of any rain over the weekend is tough to call at this point. It does look pretty certain that it will be warm, with afternoon highs well into the 80s.

Climatology


The average high this week is in the mid 80s, with the average low in the mid 60s.

Poll Update: Steve Rudin wins ex-weathercaster vote


I finally cut-off voting for the "Who's your favorite former DC weathercaster?" poll. After more than 1100 votes came in, former CBS9 and FOX5 weathercaster Steve Rudin came out on top, earning 236 votes. Tom Sater finished in second with just one vote shy of Rudin. Will he demand a recount? That is, if he ever re-surfaces again. Together, Rudin and Sater earned 40% of all votes. The rest of the results are as follows: 3rd place--Gordon Barnes (11%), 4th place--Lexi Hickok (10%), 5th place--Chikage Windler (9%), 6th place--Dave Jones (8%), 7th place--Dennis Ketterer (8%), 8th place--Alexandra Steele (7%), 9th place--Bill Kamal (5%), 10th place--Andrew Humphrey (1%).

The latest poll pits the top vote-getters for the last four CapitalWeather.com polls against one another in a playoff. Who are you voting for and why?

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