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Wonderful Stretch of Weather Nearly Here...
Watching the Tropics

Jason Samenow @ 6:00 AM

If we can get through today -- which won't be all bad -- the stage is set for a prolonged period of beautiful late summer weather. Nonetheless, we still need to keep a close eye on Tropical Storm Florence.


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighImproving, but slight shower risk. Early morning fog will gradually burnoff. By afternoon, we should have a mix of sun and clouds, with just a slight chance of a shower due to a passing shortwave. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s. Overnight, skies should clear, with lows 55-60 (suburbs-city).

Thursday through Sunday

Forecast Confidence: HighOutstanding. The entire Mid-Atlantic region will be under the influence of weak high pressure during the period. The only exception to this may occur overnight Saturday when a cold front passes through the area, but with little or no precipitation. High temperature will generally be 80-85 under partly to mostly sunny skies, with lows 60-65 (suburbs to city) throughout this 4-day period.

Summer Contest

Congratulations to Nick Krechting who is the winner of's Summer Contest to predict the number of 90 degree days and the highest temperature. We had thirty four 90 degree days, and the highest temp was 101. Nick predicted 33 such days, with a high of 100 -- pretty darn close. Nick will have his choice of a Kevin Ambrose 11x14 print, a Midland Weather Radio or a copy of the Washington Weather coffee table book.'s Tropical Spotlight

Tropical Storm Florence.
Threat to the US Mainland: Low but possible, 1 in 3 chance
Threat to the DC Area: Low, 1 in 4 chance
Latest Advisory - Latest Discussion - Hurricane Center Forecast Track - Forecast Model Tracks - Latest Satellite Image
Commentary: Florence experienced a burst of convection overnight and is a big, albeit still somewhat weak tropical storm. Conditions are favorable for Florence to strengthen and possibly become a significant, and large hurricane. Most, but not all track guidance turns Florence out to sea this weekend (and this is what most storms do at her latitude historically) rather than steering her towards the U.S. East Coast. However, as the timing of weather systems that will affect her path is still uncertain, Florence needs to be watched.

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