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Rain Departs, Warmer Air Arrives

Josh Larson @ 12:00 AM

Happy Thanksgiving from the entire CapitalWeather.com team!

Looks like one more day of chilly, damp weather before we see a return of sunshine and significantly moderating temperatures. Expect generous servings of sunshine and highs some 10 degrees above normal for the weekend into the first half of next week.

THANKSGIVING


Forecast Confidence: HighDamp & Dreary. We'll hang on to overcast skies and widely scattered showers during the morning hours. Expect still-chilly highs in the mid and upper 40s. The afternoon should feature drying conditions (though a few patches of light rain may linger in spots). Expect partial clearing and dry conditions overnight with lows in the mid 30s to low 40s.

Friday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighMuch nicer! In marked contrast to today's damp and dreary conditions, Friday -- a day hopefully many of you have off -- looks fantastic. It will feature abundant sunshine with much milder highs near 60. Clear and chilly Friday night, with lows from the mid 30s to low 40s.

The Holiday Weekend


Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighPretty Spectacular. Expect nearly cloudless skies on Saturday with high temperatures once again near 60; overnight lows will predominately be in the low 40s in most spots. Sunday will feature a blend of clouds and sun, with even milder highs approaching 65 during the afternoon. Look for overnight lows in the low to mid 40s.

LARSON'S LONG-RANGE


Pattern Overview
As the wave of low pressure responsible for yesterday and today's damp and dreary weather pushes to the north and east, it will set the stage for much milder air arriving. By Friday we will begin to see ridging aloft over our area. This ridging (and associated developing southwesterly flow) will push temperatures into the low to mid 60s through Wednesday of next week. Thereafter, temperatures look to return to more seasonable levels.

The GFS' representation of a trough over the western US and ridging over the East, which will allow for much milder air to advect from the south and west over the weekend into the first half of next week; courtesy Unisys.com.

Next week's forecast
Forecast highs/lows: 57/38 (normal = 55/38)
Forecast precip: Below normal

Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighExpect a mix of clouds and sun on Monday with mild highs near 65 and overnight lows in the mid 40s. Tuesday and Wednesday will feature only partly sunny skies, with highs near 60 and lows in the low and mid 40s. There is significant model disagreement regarding what might happen next weatherwise, but it is possible that showers late Wednesday or Thursday will give way to much cooler conditions by Friday.

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