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The Week Ahead: November Nor'easter?

Jason Samenow @ 8:45 AM

Sunshine will be a scarce commodity in the upcoming week due to the likely proximity of an ocean storm. Some rain is possible around Thanksgiving, although the amount, timing and duration remains somewhat uncertain.

Today


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighMostly cloudy, cool. Due to a dip in the jet stream and cold air aloft, we'll have cooler than average temperatures today and considerable cloudiness. Expect highs in the mid to upper 40s. Overnight, there will probably be some breaks in the clouds, with lows 29-33 (suburbs to city).

The Upcoming Week at a Glance

Coolest Day: Today, 48
Warmest Day: Saturday, 62
Dry Days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday and Sunday.
Precipitation Chances: Thursday and Friday (50%)
The Week's Wild Cards: How far inland will the coastal storm's rain come? How much rain will fall? How long will it last?
Climatological Average High/Low: 56-54/39-37

Tuesday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighPartly sunny, cool. High pressure will move in over the area. The result will be some sunshine, although clouds may increase during the afternoon as low pressure organizes off the Southeast coast and winds become more easterly. Highs should be in the low 50s. Partly cloudy skies should persist overnight with lows 34-38.

Wednesday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighIncreasing clouds. As the ocean low drifts northward and westward towards the Carolina coast, clouds should gradually lower and thicken. Easterly winds should also begin picking up. High temperatures should be near 50. Overnight, it will be cloudy with a 40% chance of light rain developing, especially towards morning. Lows should be near 40.

Thursday


Forecast Confidence: MediumChance of rain. The low should begin moving up the Mid-Atlantic coast. It will be cloudy and breezy with a 50% chance of rain from DC and points westward. There's at least a 60% chance of rain east of DC. High temperatures should be near 50. Overnight, rain may continue, especially east of DC, with temperatures generally in the 40s.

Friday


Forecast Confidence: MediumChance of morning rain, gradual clearing afterwards. The coastal low should finally move north of the area, bringing any rain to a gradual end west to east. Temperatures should be a bit milder, with highs in the mid to upper 50s (60 or so is possible if the sun breaks out). Overnight, it should become clear, with lows 30-36 (suburbs-city)

Saturday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighPartly sunny, mild. Ahead of the next front, southerly flow may kick in, allowing temperatures to reach the low to mid 60s. Overnight, clouds should increase as a cold front moves through the area (rain shower chances seem like they'll be low), with lows near 40.

Sunday


Forecast Confidence: MediumPartly sunny, seasonable. High pressure will begin moving in from the west with partly sunny skies and typical late November temperatures. Highs should be in the low 50s.

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