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The Week Ahead: More Mildness

Jason Samenow @ 10:35 AM

Merry Christmas! All indicators suggest the holiday season will remain warmer than normal in the coming week and our streak of 15 consecutive above average days will grow...

Today


Forecast Confidence: HighHeavy rain in the afternoon. Rain, heavy at times, will fall across the area this afternoon -- with the bulk of the rain falling by about 7pm. Temperatures will slow rise into the upper 40s -- with the high temperature occurring after dark perhaps. Overnight, the rain should gradually diminish after midnight with steady temperatures in the upper 40s. Rain totals should range from 0.5"-1".

The Upcoming Week at a Glance

Coldest Day: Wednesday, High 48.
Warmest Day: Friday, High 56.
Dry Days: Tuesday-Saturday.
Precipitation Chances: Today, Saturday night, Sunday.
The Week's Wild Cards: Will a strong area of cold high pressure to the north put a cap on temperatures Friday and Saturday?
Climatological Average High/Low: 45-44/30-29

Pictured: A deck of stratocumulus fills the sky Christmas morning. By CapitalWeather.com visitor David Abbou.

Tuesday


Forecast Confidence: HighVariably cloudy, mild. Cooler air will lag the departure of the storm. As a result, expect a fairly mild and breezy day -- with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Skies may be overcast in the morning, but breaks are likely in the afternoon. Overnight, it will be mostly clear and cooler, with lows 27-32 (suburbs-city).

Wednesday


Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighMostly sunny, cool. Somewhat cooler air will finally arrive as we're briefly under northwest flow. High temperatures are likely to be in the mid to upper 40s. Overnight, skies will be clear, with lows 23-30 (suburbs-city).

Thursday


Forecast Confidence:HighSunny, a bit milder. High pressure will be centered over the area, and so we'll have sunny skies with highs in the low 50s. Overnight, skies will be mostly clear with lows 25-32 (suburbs-city)

Friday


Forecast Confidence: MediumPartly sunny, mild. High pressure will move offshore and winds will likely turn southerly. However, with a large area of cold high pressure building over Ontario/Quebec into New England (Friday night), we'll have to keep an eye on the proximity of a back door cold front which could shift the winds and make it cooler. Right now, I'll call for partly sunny skies with highs in the mid 50s, but this is subject to change. Overnight, expect increasing clouds with lows near 40.

The weekend


Forecast Confidence: MediumRain Saturday night into Sunday morning. Drying New Year's Eve night? An area of low pressure that developed over eastern Texas should track to our west. As it does so, it is likely to produce overcast skies over the area Saturday, with highs near 50 (some uncertainty here depending on factors mentioned in Friday's forecast) . Overnight, the warm front and a shield of rain should move through the area, with temperatures in the 40s. On Sunday, morning showers will probably give way to variably cloudy skies in the afternoon as the cold front moves through with highs in the 50s (cooler air will again lag the cold front passage).

New Year's Eve night will probably be dry although it's not a given -- as the timing and evolution of this complex weekend weather pattern is uncertain.

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