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Will It Ever Get Cold Again?! Maybe.

Josh Larson @ 12:00 AM

It's both boring and frustrating for a very persistent weather pattern to stay in place for week after week with seemingly no end it sight. But we'll continue to experience temperatures some 5-10+ degrees above average for the next 10 days, with most days featuring more clouds than sun and some rain to bring in the New Year.


Forecast Confidence: HighPleasant enough. After a fairly chilly start to the day (at least in relative terms), we'll see a blend of clouds and sun for the balance of the day with highs in the low 50s. Partly cloudy overnight with lows from 32 across the cooler suburbs to the upper 30s downtown.


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighAbout the same. Expect a blend of clouds and sun on Friday with afternoon highs in the low to mid 50s in most spots. We'll see partly cloudy skies Friday night with lows from 33-40.

The Weekend

Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighNot exactly fantastic. Expect more clouds than sun on Saturday will high temperatures once again in the low to mid 50s. Mostly cloudy Saturday night with lows primarily in the low 40s. Sunday will, unfortunately, feature overcast skies with showers developing during the second half of the day. On New Year's Eve we're likely to see overcast skies with scattered showers around; (from this juncture, it does not appear likely that we'll see steady or heavy rain during this time frame.) Expect temperatures to hold nearly steady in the low to mid 40s overnight.


Pattern Overview
As long as the Pacific Jet over western North America does not relax, and as long as we don't have strong high pressure establish itself over Canada, we're likely to continue this above-normal temperature pattern for much of the country (though especially the eastern third) ad nauseam for the foreseeable future. There is, as yet, no convincing evidence of any major pattern change prior to Jan 10. But I do believe that it is still far too premature to pronounce winter "dead."; I'd say more like "dormant."

Image above: if it looks familiar, that's because it is: trough over the western US, strong ridging over the eastern US and little or no high pressure over Canada will continue to support above average temperatures for our area; courtesy

Next week's forecast
Forecast highs/lows: 50/34 (normal = 43/28)
Forecast precip: Near normal

Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighExpect overcast skies with periods of rain on the first day of the year. Highs will remain in the low 50s, with overnight lows near 40. Tuesday will feature rapidly improving conditions with skies becoming mostly sunny and afternoon highs near 50 with overnight lows, under mostly clear skies, in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Wednesday will feature abundant sunshine with highs in the mid to upper 40s and overnight lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Thursday and Friday will feature times of clouds and sun with high temperatures from 45-50 and overnight lows from 30-35.

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