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Welcome Back, Winter

Dan Stillman @ 12:00 PM

Just like that, all seems normal in the world. American Idol is back on the air, and it finally feels like winter in Washington, complete with wintry weather potential. The forecast details follow ...


Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighCold, sunny, diminishing winds. After a breezy morning with temperatures starting out in the 20s, winds will diminish by afternoon. But the cold will remain, despite abundant sunshine, as highs only reach 34-38. Tonight, clear skies early, then increasing clouds toward morning. Lows in the mid 20s in town, near 20 in the burbs.


Forecast Confidence: MediumThickening clouds ... wintry mix? As a storm develops off the South Carolina-Georgia coast and starts to move northward, we'll see skies become overcast and highs near 40. The storm could brush the metro area with a short period of light snow or rain sometime during the early evening through overnight hours. With overnight lows expected in the mid 20s to near 30, we'll have to keep an eye on this since a heavy burst of snow might be enough to make roads briefly slick. But chances are precipitation will be light and inconsequential.


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighSlowly clearing skies, becoming breezy. As the storm heads up the coast, cold winds out of the northwest kick up behind it, especially in the afternoon. We'll see slowly clearing skies with highs in the low 40s around lunchtime, then falling temperatures during the afternoon. Overnight, clear and windy with lows in the mid-to-upper 20s.

The Weekend

Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighVery cold Saturday, seasonal Sunday. Saturday looks to be a partly to mostly sunny and blustery day with winds gusting over 20 mph and highs only in the mid 30s. Saturday night, partly cloudy with gradually diminishing winds and lows in the low-to-mid 20s in town, upper teens to near 20 in the burbs. Sunday, partly sunny with highs near normal, in the low 40s.

Snow Chances For Early Next Week?

Models indicate the potential for a storm to develop along the Gulf Coast on Sunday, moving up toward the MidAtlantic during the day on Monday. There's some potential here for snow, but not enough certainty or consistency in the models for me to pull out the Snow Lover's Crystal Ball (which we reserve for accumulating snow chances of 20% or more). Stay tuned for updates.


The Associated Press reports that, starting in October, the National Weather Service will begin issuing certain severe weather warnings for specific geographic locations rather than on a countywide basis.

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