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The Week Ahead: Warmer then Colder

Jason Samenow @ 7:20 AM

In the wake of yesterday's "overperforming" snowstorm, temperatures will gradually moderate this week before probably turning colder this weekend. Some rain is likely during the transition.

Today


Forecast Confidence: Medium HighMostly cloudy, raw. We'll be in between the areas of low pressure which caused yesterday's snow and rain. As a result, there won't be much in the way of clearing, just mainly overcast skies with temperatures slowly warming into the low 40s. Overnight, skies will remain cloudy as weak low pressure passes by to the north. A flurry is possible, with lows near 29-33 (suburbs-city)

The Upcoming Week at a Glance

Coldest Day: Sunday, High 38.
Warmest Day: Friday, High 52.
Dry Days: Mon-Wed, the weekend.
Precipitation Chances: Thursday and Friday (rain showers).
The Week's Wild Cards: Will we be on the "warm" side of the Thursday/Friday storm or will the storm track further south, resulting in a more wintry scenario? How warm will it be ahead of Friday's front and how cold will it be behind it?
Climatological Average High/Low: 50-52/32-34

Pictured: A dog enjoys moderate snowfall in Oakton, VA yesterday. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Kevin Ambrose.

Tuesday


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighBecoming partly sunny -- a bit milder. Weak high pressure will begin building in from the northwest. Some sunshine is likely to emerge with highs 45-49. Overnight, skies should clear with lows 25-30 (suburbs-city).

Wednesday


Forecast Confidence: HighPartly cloudy, seasonable. Weak high pressure to the northwest will continue to influence our weather as a new storm begins developing in the lee of the Rocky Mountains. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies with high temperatures from 45-50. Overnight, it should be mostly clear, with lows 26-31 (suburbs-city)


Pictured: Snow covered streets in Mt. Pleasant, Washington, DC yesterday afternoon. By CapitalWeather.com photographer Ian Livingston.

Thursday


Forecast Confidence:MediumIncreasing clouds, showers possible late. As low pressure begins intensifying as it heads towards the Great Lakes, a warm front will approach -- with increasing clouds and perhaps some showers in the afternoon (30% chance). High temperatures are likely to be near 50. Overnight, rain is likely ahead of a cold front associated with the Great Lakes low. The rain could be heavy times. Temperatures should be steady -- in the mid 40s to around 50. There's a small probability the storm could take a more southerly track -- in which case temperatures will be cooler than presently forecast. This happened with this past weekend's storm -- although it's less likely to occur this week.

Friday


Forecast Confidence: MediumMorning rain, turning windy. The cold front should move through the area by the afternoon -- cutting off the rain and bringing windy and cooler conditions by evening. High temperatures may reach the low 50s. At night, it will likely be breezy and brisk, with lows in the low to mid 30s. (The timing of the cold front's passage is somewhat uncertain. It's possible the cold air may take a bit longer to arrive.)

The weekend


Forecast Confidence: MediumChilly. A cold air mass is likely to grip the region over the weekend, with highs in the low to mid 40s (or about 10 degrees below average) and lows in the 20s.

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