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Generally Milder Conditions Developing
But Friday to Monday Looks Cloudy, Showery

Josh Larson @ 8:30 AM

Now that we have yesterday's chill behind us, it looks like the next seven to ten days will feature high temperatures generally at or above normal/average (see Dan's post) values for this time of year, with the exception of Saturday (figures, huh?) when overcast skies and showers could keep temperatures in the 50s.


Forecast Confidence: HighMuch improved. Though we'll likely start off the day with plenty of clouds, sunshine should gradually increase as the day wears on. Breezy southwesterly winds will warm our area to much more spring-like levels than yesterday; expect highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Becoming mostly cloudy tonight with a few scattered showers possible, with lows from 50-55.


Forecast Confidence: MediumMild but showery. Despite predominately cloudy skies during the course of the day, continued southerly flow will allow temperatures once again to reach the upper 60s. However, a nearby frontal system is likely to provide the impetus for periodic showers throughout the course of the day. A few showers still possible Friday night, with lows from 45-50.

The Weekend

For Confidence: High-Very HighTrending wetter; tough call. Saturday will feature overcast skies with occasional showers -- due to easterly flow and a nearby frontal boundary. The NWS (as of last night) seemed to think we'll hit 60, but I don't think we'll make it out of the low to mid 50s. Sunday is a very tough call at this time depending on the movement and position of the aforementioned frontal system; hopefully Camden can clarify Sunday's forecast in tomorrow's post. For now we'll call for partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and highs around 60.


Pattern Overview
The first few days of the next work week continue, like Sunday's forecast, to be a difficult call due to model disagreement and a stubborn frontal boundary with potential onshore, easterly flow. It's still a tossup at this point as to how much sunshine we see Monday and Tuesday, which would also affect high temperatures. A cold front will probably push through late Tuesday into Wednesday which should leave the rest of the week mild and predominately dry.

Pictured above: a ridge aloft over the eastern third of the nation next week should lead to relatively pleasant weather conditions for much of next week; as depicted at 300mb for the Wednesday, March 28 -- from the GFS forecast model.

Next week's forecast
Forecast highs/lows: 64/46 (normal = 60/41)
Forecast precip: Below-normal

Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighMonday and Tuesday will likely feature more clouds than sun, and an occasional shower cannot be totally ruled out; highs (depending heavily on the amount of sunshine we see) will probably in the low 60s and lows in the mid to upper 40s. Wednesday and Thursday are expected to feature abundant sunshine and dry conditions with highs from the mid 60s to the low 70s and overnight lows generally from the mid 40s to the low 50s. From this far vantage point, Friday may feature increasing clouds with a chance of showers, though temperatures should remain nearly steady.

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