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The Week Ahead: Spring's Growing Pains

Jason Samenow @ 12:37 AM

If you like it consistently warm and dry, the week ahead will be maddening. Each time we get a taste of such conditions, rain showers and cooler conditions won't be far behind.


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighMostly cloudy, seasonably mild. Moist southerly flow will allow temperatures to rise a bit above average, but considerable cloud cover will likely hold high temperatures in the mid 60s. The day should be mostly dry although a sprinkle can't be ruled out late in the day, particularly west of town. Overnight, partial cloud cover and a light southerly wind will prevent low temperatures from dropping below 50 downtown, and the high 40s in the suburbs.

The Upcoming Week at a Glance

Warmest Day:Tuesday, High 76.
Coldest Day: Thursday, High 56.
Precip Chances: Tuesday late afternoon/evening (20%), Wednesday afternoon and night (60%), Thursday morning (30%), Saturday night and Sunday (40%)
Dry Days: Today, Friday and Saturday
The Week's Wild Cards: How much rain will fall late Wednesday into Thursday? How cool will it be Thursday? When will the cold front move through over the weekend?
Climatological Average High/Low: 59-61/40-42

Pictured: The crescent moon-set with Venus nearby last Tuesday night. View is looking West across the Shenandoah Valley from Blue Mountain. By contributing photographer Steve Pittman.


Forecast Confidence: HighVery mild. Westerly flow will help dry things out a bit and allow for more sunshine in the morning. The added sun coupled with the mild air mass overhead should allow temperatures to reach the low to mid 70s. By early evening though, a few clouds should increase as a cold front approaches. Shower chances are low (30%), but can't be ruled out. Overnight, any shower activity should diminish, with partly cloudy skies and lows from the upper 40s to low 50s (suburbs to city).


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighRain showers developing in the afternoon. The cold front will stall to our south and a disturbance will develop along it, bringing a chance of rain by afternoon -- particularly south of DC. Highs will likely be in the mid 60s. Rain is likely to continue during the overnight hours before ending northwest to southeast. Low temperatures should be in the mid to upper 40s.


Forecast Confidence:Medium-HighVariably cloudy, cool. High pressure over southern Canada will direct cool northerly flow over the area. After some morning showers (particularly south), expect a mix of clouds and sun, with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Overnight, it will be clear and chilly, with lows 34-39 (suburbs-city).


Forecast Confidence: MediumMostly sunny, seasonable. As high pressure settles over us, winds will diminish and the air will warm a bit. Expect plenty of sunshine, with highs in the low to mid 60s. Overnight, it will most likely be clear with lows 37-43 (suburbs-city).

The Weekend

Forecast Confidence: MediumNice Saturday, iffy Sunday. Flow will turn southerly Saturday, likely resulting in a mild day, with highs 65-70. Sometime Saturday night or Sunday, a cold front will move through with showers -- but the timing isn't clear. Sunday will probably be a bit cooler than Saturday, with highs 60-65.

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