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Warmer Days and Nights Will Stick Around

Dan Stillman @ 12:00 PM

Highs made it to the mid 70s yesterday after failing to break out of the 60s the previous three days. The warmer trend is expected to continue through the weekend and into next week, with highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s and a chance of a shower or thunderstorm here and there. Of note, morning lows will generally be in the 50s to low 60s rather than the chilly mid 30s and 40s we saw earlier in the week.


Forecast Confidence: HighPartly cloudy, mild. Compared to yesterday's gorgeous blue skies, today will be marred by clouds associated with Andrea, a subtropical storm spinning off the Southeast coast. Look for partly cloudy conditions and highs in the mid-to-upper 70s with a touch of humidity. There's a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, mainly to the south. Tonight, partly cloudy with lows in the low 60s.


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighPretty much the same as today. We may see some sunshine but also a good amount of clouds. Let's call it partly sunny with highs 75-80, and again just a touch humid. There's a slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm, but I think most of the activity would be off to our south and west. Overnight, partly cloudy with lows 60-65.

The Potomac River under fair skies yesterday near Dumfries, Va. By Steve Pittman.


Forecast Confidence: MediumWarmer, possible PM showers/t'storms. This looks to be the most active weather day of the work week. Like the previous day, skies will probably feature a mix of clouds and sun as temperatures climb a bit higher, into the low-to-mid 80s for highs. This time we may see a better chance (about 30 to 40 percent) of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Overnight, partly cloudy with lows in the mid 50s to near 60.

The Weekend

Forecast Confidence: MediumSo-so Saturday, Sunnier Sunday. High pressure tries to work its way in, but it may not be until Sunday that it takes full control. The result would be a partly cloudy Saturday with a chance of a shower and highs in the mid-to-upper 70s, partly cloudy Saturday night with lows in the low-to-mid 50s, and a partly to mostly sunny Sunday with highs in the mid 70s.

Tornado Forecast: Job Well Done

Amid the political bickering about whether the Iraq war is hindering government response to the Greensburg tornado, let's make sure to credit the National Weather Service for an accurate forecast and effective warning, which may have saved dozens if not hundreds of lives:

"NOAA forecasters in Dodge City were able to issue a Tornado Warning 39 minutes before the 1.7 mile wide wedge tornado hit [Greensburg]. Noting intensification in radar images and a bearing directly toward Greensburg, Dodge City weather staff updated with a Tornado Emergency message 10-12 minutes before the twister hit urging residents to get to shelter immediately," according to a NOAA release.

As was the case for Hurricane Katrina, weather forecasters got the job done. If only the government -- local, state and federal -- could begin doing the same.

Pictured: This Doppler radar image helped forecasters track the tornado as it approached Greensburg, Kansas. The radar is located in Dodge City, which is to the northwest of Mullinville. Reds indicate winds moving away from the radar, and blues and whites toward the radar. The close proximity of these contrasting colors to each other is indicative of the rotating winds associated with the tornado. Image courtesy NOAA.

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