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More of the Same for Today & Tomorrow
Then Widespread Clouds, Showers Develop?

Josh Larson @ 8:30 AM

With the incorrigible upper-level low-pressure system still lurking to our northwest, over the Great Lakes, we'll look for a continuation of a blend of clouds and sun along with the possibility of few-and-far-between showers today and tomorrow. Once the low finally does begin to move off, some atmospheric energy left behind may bring widespread clouds and showers to our area this weekend into much of next week.


Forecast Confidence: MediumPartly sunny; shower? Look for slightly warmer and more humid conditions today than yesterday, with a blend of clouds and sun, and highs in the mid to upper 80s. A stray shower once again cannot be completely ruled out, even though the vast majority of the area will likely stay dry. Partly cloudy overnight with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.


Forecast Confidence: MediumMore of the same. Take today's weather and then basically just transfer it to Friday. We'll see the varying blend of clouds and sun with a slight chance of late-day showers or thunderstorms, especially to the west. Highs will once again range from the mid to upper 80s, with overnight lows primarily in the low 70s.

The Weekend

Confidence: High-Very HighGood versus bad. Let me just say if you're one of the people who's concerned about the worsening drought conditions in our area, you will likely be very pleased to hear this weekend's forecast; if, however, you're looking to spend time outside in nice weather, you may be severely dissapointed.

Both Saturday and Sunday look to feature very unsettled weather with mostly cloudy to overcast skies and periodic showers (and perhaps even a thunderstorm); most of the precipitation will probably fall during the daylight hours. Some areas have a fighting chance to see >1" of rain. Highs both days will be limited to the low to mid 80s by cloud cover, with overnight lows in the lower 70s.

Pattern Overview

Upper level energy spinning to our north will keep us in varying amounts of clouds and sun with slight (<20%) chances of scattered showers today and tomorrow. However, though much of the upper-level energy will push off by the weekend, enough mid- and surface-level energy will be left behind to allow for widespread clouds to develop and much better chances for precipitation.

There are some indications that this left-over energy (like the upper-level low that spawned it) may be very slow to exit the area which may set the stage for continued widespread clouds and chances for showers into the entire first half of next week.

Pictured above: The HPC suggests the potential for 1-2"+ of drought-easing rain to fall over the next 5 days -- though much of that may fall this weekend; areas to our west are likely to see the most rain.


Next week's forecast
Forecast highs/lows: 85/70 (normal = 88/70)
Forecast precip: Near- or above-normal

Forecast Confidence: High-Very HighThere is decidedly low confidence in the forecast for the first half of next week due to some model disagreement. I'll call for mostly cloudy to overcast skies for Monday through Wednesday with a 50/50 chance of showers each day and slightly below-normal temperatures due to cloud cover; expect highs in the low to mid 80s these days with overnight lows near 70. From this far vantage point, look for clearing skies on Thursday and Friday with high temperatures perhaps climbing into the upper 80s.

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