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Could Clouds Finally Bring Us Some Rain?
Yes, But Only Light Amounts Expected

Josh Larson @ 10:45 AM

It's 33 days (so far) with no measurable rain -- that ties the record set in 1995 -- and though a warm front will bring plenty of clouds to the region today, there is only a slight chance of a few light showers; on Friday, however, an approaching cold front brings a somewhat better chance for precipitation, but rainfall amounts are likely to be on the light side. All is not lost, however, as the weekend's shaping up to be quite nice (albeit warm), and a strong cold front will bring much cooler weather to the area by Tuesday of next week.

Pictured: The White House just prior to sunset on Wednesday evening; captured by CapitalWeather.com photographer Kevin Ambrose.

Today


Confidence: HighCloudy; sprinkle? Expect considerable cloudiness today, courtesy of a nearby warm front. A few sprinkles are possible in a couple spots, but most of the area will remain dry -- for the 34th day in a row. Expect warm high temperatures to range from the mid to upper 70s depending on cloud cover. Mostly cloudy with a stray sprinkle overnight, with lows in the mid 60s.

Friday


Forecast Confidence: MediumShowers? Expect similar conditions on Friday as today, though we've got a better shot at precipitation this time around. An approaching cold front will provide plenty of cloud cover, while the best chance for showers will be during the second half of the day. Highs will once again approach 80, while overnight lows -- amidst possible showers -- will fall to the upper 50s to low 60s.

The Weekend


Confidence: High-Very HighPleasant, but still mild. We'll wake up to a fair amount of clouds Saturday morning, but skies will rapidly clear as high pressure builds in behind the aforementioned cold front. Look for somewhat "cooler" high temperatures in the low to mid 70s -- along with some breeziness -- with comfortable overnight lows primarily in the low to mid 50s. Expect nearly cloudless skies on Sunday with milder high temperatures making a serious run at hitting or eclipsing the 80 degree mark with pleasant overnight lows in the mid 50s.

Pattern Overview


Despite the presence of a nearby warm front today, and the passage of a cold front late tomorrow, it appears that most locations will see less than .25" of rain over the next 48 hours; not exactly the most promising way to end a 33+ day dry streak. We'll look for plenty of sunshine this weekend, however, along with continued very mild temperatures. The good news is that there is an end in sight to this warmth in the form of a strong cold front which will likely push through next Tuesday and bring much cooler temperatures for the second half of the week -- perhaps lasting through the rest of the month.

Pictured above: the HPC predicts that no more than .25" of rain will fall through Friday.

LARSON'S LONG-RANGE


Next week's forecast
Forecast highs/lows: 68/52 (normal = 65/46)
Forecast precip: Below-normal

Confidence: High-Very HighLook for mostly sunny skies on Monday with very warm temperatures likely ranging from 80-85 (though the NWS is calling for the upper 70s), with overnight lows in the mid to upper 50s. Expect an increase in clouds on Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front. Showers are possible during the second half of the day, with afternoon highs in the low 70s. Morning showers are possible on Wednesday, though we should see some partial clearing during the afternoon along with cooler high temperatures in the upper 60s with overnight lows in the 40s. From this far vantage point, Thursday and Friday look to feature partly to mostly sunny skies with seasonably cool high temperatures in the low to mid 60s with chilly overnight lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

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