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Warming (Clouding?) Up with Little Rain in Sight
What does winter have in store?

Jason Samenow @ 9:30 AM

The forecast is pretty darn repetitive these next five days. High pressure off the Northeast coast will block any rain producing weather systems and lock in warm temperatures. The unpredictable part of the forecast is the extent and duration of possible morning low clouds/fog -- due to onshore "dirty" flow.


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighSome PM sun, mild. After some low clouds/fog early, some sunshine should emerge by mid morning. Expect a mix of sun and clouds in the afternoon, with high temperatures around 80. Be warned that there's a small chance the clouds could hold on into the afternoon -- holding temps in the 70s.

Partly cloudy skies overnight, with another round of low clouds and fog possible towards morning. Low temperatures should range from 56-61 (suburbs-city).

Tomorrow and Friday

Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighMorning clouds, some afternoon sun. Tomorrow and Friday will be just like today -- maybe a couple degrees warmer. After the possibility of some low clouds and fog to start the day, some sun will likely emerge with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s. It will also be on the humid side.

Overnight, it should be partly cloudy and mild, with low clouds and fog again possible towards morning. Low temperatures should range from 58-63 (suburbs-city) photographer Kevin Ambrose captures a beautiful sunrise Monday morning.

The Weekend

Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighVery warm and humid. The weather pattern shouldn't change much over the weekend. The onshore flow may weaken a bit by Sunday, resulting in a reduced chance of low clouds/fog to start the day and warmer high temperatures. High temperatures are likely to be in the low to mid 80s Saturday and mid to upper 80s Sunday with noticeable humidity both days. Look for overnight lows generally 60-65 (suburbs-city).

An icy but mild winter?

AccuWeather's Henry Margusity has issued his winter forecast for the U.S. For our area, he's calling for:
  • Above average temperatures
  • Average precipitation
  • Below to much below average snowfall
  • 1-3 snowstorms of 2" or more
  • Significant ice storm potential
If his forecast verifies, we'd expect generally mild conditions as high pressure off the southeast coast feeds us a healthy dose of warmer than normal air. But on occasion, his forecast has some cold air to the north and west nosing its way down the East Coast in a shallow layer, setting the stage for the dreaded wintry mix scenarios. His winter forecast seems pretty consistent with that of seasonal forecasting guru Keith Allen -- described by's Matt Ross last week.'s own winter forecast will be released in November.


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