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Holiday Gets Off to Mild-Mannered Start
Minimal travel trouble locally, but not so nationally

Dan Stillman @ 10:20 AM

The forecast through the Thanksgiving weekend bears a remarkable resemblance to what we saw exactly a week ago -- a mild Wednesday, showers possible Thursday, then cooler Friday through Sunday. Travel by car and train looks good up and down the East Coast today, but rain showers may enter the picture on Thanksgiving Day and for travelers headed south from D.C. on Sunday.

In case you missed it, scroll down to our 2007-08 Winter Outlook posted yesterday.


Nice Day StampPartly sunny, mild. Ahead of an approaching cold front, southerly flow and partly sunny skies will boost temperatures to highs near 70. Winds will be light from the south at 5-10 mph. Tonight, clouds increase as the front gets closer. Lows 50-55 (suburbs-city).

Holiday Travel Forecast

Today: Rain and snow along a cold front stretching from Michigan to Texas may contribute to flight delays across the country. But the eastward-moving front should move slowly enough to spare East Coast drivers and train passengers from any weather worries. I don't see any significant showers along the front making it any further east than (from south to north) eastern Kentucky, eastern Ohio, northwestern Pennsylvania and central New York state.

Thanksgiving: Shower activity shifts eastward, but looks like it will stay west of the I-95 corridor for the morning hours. The afternoon, on the other hand, could be a showery one in each direction along I-95 from Massachusetts to Florida.

Friday-Sunday: Other than some gusty winds on Friday, the weather should be quiet for most of the eastern third of the U.S. through Saturday. On Sunday, showers could disrupt travel from D.C. toward points south and southwest, especially during the latter part of the day.

Graphic courtesy Google Maps.

Thanksgiving Day

Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighOn the warm side, chance of showers. With the approaching cold front slow to move through, we'll spend much of the day on the warm side of the front. Despite considerable clouds, highs should climb to near 70 for the second day in a row, thanks in part to a warm breeze from the southwest at 10-15 mph. There's a slight chance of showers in the morning, then a better chance during the midday and afternoon, but even then only about 30-50%. Behind the front, any shower activity should come to an end during the evening as skies clear, temperatures drop, and winds become breezy out of the northwest. Lows in the mid 30s to near 40 (suburbs-city).


Forecast Confidence: Medium-HighWindy chill. Mostly sunny skies may be a bit deceiving, as brisk winds from the northwest -- sustained at 15-20 mph with higher gusts -- will add a chill to high temperatures only in the mid 40s. Overnight, clear skies and diminishing winds will allow temperatures to plummet. Lows near 30 in town, mid 20s and even some low 20s in the burbs.

A Look Ahead

  • With high pressure in control, Saturday looks sunny and cold with calm winds and highs in the mid 40s; Saturday night lows should dip to the upper 20s to mid 30s (suburbs-city).

  • The Sunday forecast depends on the progress of a storm system that is likely to develop in the Gulf of Mexico and start moving to the northeast, and the possible formation of low pressure along the Carolina coast. Much of the day has a decent chance of remaining dry as highs reach the upper 40s. But the possibility of rain may enter the picture late in the day or at night, and for Monday and Tuesday as well.
Pictured: Lovely leaves line the sidewalk on Sunday in Glover Park. By photographer Ian Livingston.

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